Tour de Ski Queen Stage 2014: Analysis
Sundby started around 30 seconds ahead – and managed to build up a 50-55 seconds gap to a six man group consisting of Northug, Harvey, Halfvarsson, Legkov and Jespersen in the first 5-6 km of the race. The graphical analysis above shows the development from start until finish.
As you can see from the illustration, the six man group did not cooperate well, and the gap steadily increased second by second. After around 10-12 km the Austrican Duerr – starting at 2:11 in 34th spot - surprisingly came up to the 6 man group and increased the speed in the group for some kilometers – chasing the gap down to around 1:10. This gap stayed constant until the sprint in the group started a kilometer before the finish. Northug finished 2nd – 58 seconds behind Sundby. Adding up the bonus seconds (15 seconds for victory, 10 seconds for 2nd place, 5 seconds for third place), that means that Sundby now has a 1:03 lead.
Sundby did a very good race at the front of the field – but if the chasing group would have cooperated better, it should have been possible to chase down at least another 20-25 seconds on Sundby. However, as we have seen earlier on the Cortina-Toblach stage it is not easy to get a good cooperation going – especially not when there are team mates of the leader in the following group (Jespersen and Northug).
- I did not race full speed, but I tried to keep a steady pace over 35 km. I gambled that I had enough strength to go all the way to the finish, Sundby said after his race. - Now I am completely finished.
The question is if this race has cost Sundby more than the others in the chasing group? We will see tomorrow at the 10 km classic!
The illustration above is a graphical illustration of the race development based on the split times. A line which is flat means that a skier has the same time as Petter Northug for the split (Northug’s line is flat all the way). A line which goes down represents slower speed – a line which goes up represents faster speed. Key moments are marked on the illustration. See the full interactive illustration here.
Nearly melted into one
The second big group was partly lead by the Norwegians Tønseth, Krogh and Gjerdalen – and partly by Dotzler among others. Before Duerr caught up with the first group it looked like the two groups would melt into one, big group – but when Duerr got up to the first group the speed increased in the first group – and the gap between the groups steadily increased. In the end the group was at around 1:55 behind Sundby. The disappointment of the day was Manificat – the winner of the Davos 30 km – who had to let the second group go and lost a lot of time. A pity for Manificat who usually has his strength in the Final Climb!
Further down we had the third big group with Noah Hoffman as the fastest racer. First to the finish in this group was Dyrhaug at 3:05.
GPS comparison
Below you see some simple GPS-comparisons based on the live GPS-tracking. There were unfortunately some holes in the GPS coverage due to the phone coverage in the area, and thus the GPS-data do not give a complete picture of the development in the race. You can however see how the gap between Sundby and the first big group was at its largest around 13.0 km.
Split 1
1. | 14:15 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | ||
2. | 14:21 | +00:06 | Niklas DYRHAUG | NOR | |
3. | 14:24 | +00:09 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
4. | 14:25 | +00:10 | Giorgio DI CENTA | ITA | |
5. | 14:30 | +00:15 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
6. | 14:31 | +00:16 | Maurice MANIFICAT | FRA | |
7. | 14:32 | +00:17 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
8. | 14:36 | +00:21 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
9. | 14:40 | +00:25 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
10. | 14:40 | +00:25 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
11. | 14:41 | +00:26 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
12. | 14:41 | +00:26 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
17. | 14:42 | +00:27 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
50. | 15:08 | +00:53 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR |
Split 2
1. | 16:58 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | ||
2. | 17:05 | +00:07 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
3. | 17:12 | +00:14 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
4. | 17:14 | +00:16 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
5. | 17:15 | +00:17 | Maurice MANIFICAT | FRA | |
6. | 17:19 | +00:20 | Hannes DOTZLER | GER | |
7. | 17:19 | +00:21 | Lari LEHTONEN | FIN | |
8. | 17:19 | +00:21 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
9. | 17:21 | +00:23 | Ville NOUSIAINEN | FIN | |
10. | 17:21 | +00:23 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
11. | 17:23 | +00:25 | Jonas DOBLER | GER | |
12. | 17:24 | +00:25 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
13. | 17:24 | +00:26 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
19. | 17:40 | +00:42 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
22. | 17:41 | +00:43 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
23. | 17:42 | +00:43 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS |
Split 3
1. | 08:25 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | ||
2. | 08:26 | +00:01 | Calle HALFVARSSON | SWE | |
3. | 08:26 | +00:02 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
4. | 08:27 | +00:03 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
5. | 08:28 | +00:03 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
6. | 08:28 | +00:03 | Ilia CHERNOUSOV | RUS | |
7. | 08:28 | +00:04 | Alex HARVEY | CAN | |
8. | 08:36 | +00:12 | Lari LEHTONEN | FIN | |
9. | 08:37 | +00:12 | Ville NOUSIAINEN | FIN | |
10. | 08:37 | +00:12 | Martin JAKS | CZE | |
11. | 08:37 | +00:13 | Daniel RICHARDSSON | SWE | |
12. | 08:37 | +00:13 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
13. | 08:39 | +00:14 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
14. | 08:40 | +00:16 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
16. | 08:41 | +00:17 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
17. | 08:42 | +00:17 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
18. | 08:44 | +00:19 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
19. | 08:45 | +00:20 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA |
Split 4
1. | 12:34 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | ||
2. | 12:35 | +00:01 | Dietmar NOECKLER | ITA | |
3. | 12:35 | +00:01 | Petr SEDOV | RUS | |
4. | 12:36 | +00:02 | Konstantin GLAVATSKIKH | RUS | |
5. | 12:37 | +00:02 | Ivan BABIKOV | CAN | |
6. | 12:38 | +00:03 | Alexander UTKIN | RUS | |
7. | 12:38 | +00:04 | Martin JOHANSSON | SWE | |
8. | 12:38 | +00:04 | Thomas BING | GER | |
9. | 12:38 | +00:04 | Jens ERIKSSON | SWE | |
10. | 12:39 | +00:05 | Keishin YOSHIDA | JPN | |
11. | 12:39 | +00:05 | David HOFER | ITA | |
19. | 12:44 | +00:10 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
21. | 12:45 | +00:10 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
23. | 12:45 | +00:11 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
24. | 12:45 | +00:11 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
26. | 12:46 | +00:12 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
28. | 12:48 | +00:13 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
29. | 12:48 | +00:14 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | |
31. | 12:51 | +00:16 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
32. | 12:51 | +00:16 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
35. | 12:52 | +00:18 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA |
Split 5
1. | 08:42 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | ||
2. | 08:43 | +00:01 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
3. | 08:44 | +00:02 | Ivan BABIKOV | CAN | |
4. | 08:44 | +00:02 | Ilia CHERNOUSOV | RUS | |
5. | 08:45 | +00:02 | Michail SEMENOV | BLR | |
6. | 08:45 | +00:03 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
7. | 08:45 | +00:03 | Martin JOHANSSON | SWE | |
8. | 08:46 | +00:03 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
9. | 08:46 | +00:04 | Calle HALFVARSSON | SWE | |
10. | 08:46 | +00:04 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
11. | 08:46 | +00:04 | Andrew MUSGRAVE | GBR | |
12. | 08:46 | +00:04 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
29. | 08:53 | +00:11 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
30. | 08:53 | +00:11 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
36. | 08:54 | +00:12 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
41. | 08:54 | +00:12 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
44. | 08:57 | +00:15 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR |
Split 6
1. | 10:53 | Alexander UTKIN | RUS | ||
2. | 10:53 | +00:00 | Thomas BING | GER | |
3. | 10:53 | +00:01 | Keishin YOSHIDA | JPN | |
4. | 10:53 | +00:01 | Konstantin GLAVATSKIKH | RUS | |
5. | 10:55 | +00:02 | Jens FILBRICH | GER | |
6. | 10:56 | +00:03 | Devon KERSHAW | CAN | |
7. | 10:56 | +00:03 | Anders SOEDERGREN | SWE | |
8. | 10:56 | +00:03 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
9. | 10:56 | +00:03 | Tim TSCHARNKE | GER | |
10. | 10:57 | +00:04 | Ivan BABIKOV | CAN | |
11. | 10:57 | +00:04 | Martin JOHANSSON | SWE | |
15. | 10:58 | +00:06 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
19. | 11:03 | +00:10 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
20. | 11:03 | +00:10 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
23. | 11:04 | +00:11 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
24. | 11:04 | +00:11 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | |
26. | 11:12 | +00:19 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
27. | 11:13 | +00:21 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
28. | 11:14 | +00:21 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
29. | 11:14 | +00:21 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
40. | 11:18 | +00:25 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR |
Split 7
1. | 03:59 | Ville NOUSIAINEN | FIN | ||
2. | 03:59 | +00:00 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
3. | 03:59 | +00:00 | Hannes DOTZLER | GER | |
4. | 03:59 | +00:00 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
5. | 04:00 | +00:01 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
6. | 04:00 | +00:01 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
7. | 04:01 | +00:02 | Daniel RICHARDSSON | SWE | |
8. | 04:01 | +00:02 | Alex HARVEY | CAN | |
9. | 04:01 | +00:02 | Martin JAKS | CZE | |
10. | 04:01 | +00:02 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
11. | 04:01 | +00:02 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
17. | 04:03 | +00:04 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
27. | 04:04 | +00:05 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
32. | 04:06 | +00:07 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
33. | 04:06 | +00:07 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
34. | 04:06 | +00:07 | Johannes DUERR | AUT |
Split 8
1. | 02:49 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | ||
2. | 02:49 | +00:00 | Jens ERIKSSON | SWE | |
3. | 02:49 | +00:01 | Jens FILBRICH | GER | |
4. | 02:50 | +00:01 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | |
5. | 02:50 | +00:01 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
6. | 02:50 | +00:01 | Anders SOEDERGREN | SWE | |
7. | 02:50 | +00:01 | Alexander UTKIN | RUS | |
8. | 02:50 | +00:01 | Jonas DOBLER | GER | |
9. | 02:50 | +00:02 | Calle HALFVARSSON | SWE | |
10. | 02:50 | +00:02 | Martin JOHANSSON | SWE | |
11. | 02:51 | +00:02 | Dietmar NOECKLER | ITA | |
15. | 02:52 | +00:03 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
22. | 02:53 | +00:04 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
23. | 02:53 | +00:04 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
26. | 02:54 | +00:05 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
31. | 02:55 | +00:06 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
33. | 02:55 | +00:07 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
36. | 02:59 | +00:10 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
40. | 03:04 | +00:16 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR |
Overall (unofficial results from live timing, without bonus seconds)
1. | 01:20:19 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |||
2. | 01:21:17 | +00:58 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | ||
3. | 01:21:17 | +00:59 | Alex HARVEY | CAN | ||
4. | 01:21:18 | +00:59 | Calle HALFVARSSON | SWE | ||
5. | 01:21:18 | +01:00 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | ||
6. | 01:21:19 | +01:00 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | ||
7. | 01:21:19 | +01:01 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | ||
8. | 01:21:22 | +01:04 | Ilia CHERNOUSOV | RUS | ||
9. | 01:22:14 | +01:55 | Ville NOUSIAINEN | FIN | ||
10. | 01:22:14 | +01:56 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | ||
11. | 01:22:15 | +01:56 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | ||
12. | 01:22:15 | +01:56 | Hannes DOTZLER | GER | ||
13. | 01:22:15 | +01:57 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | ||
14. | 01:22:15 | +01:57 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | ||
15. | 01:22:16 | +01:57 | Daniel RICHARDSSON | SWE | ||
16. | 01:22:16 | +01:58 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | ||
17. | 01:22:17 | +01:58 | Martin JAKS | CZE | ||
18. | 01:22:33 | +02:14 | Lari LEHTONEN | FIN | ||
19. | 01:23:23 | +03:05 | Niklas DYRHAUG | NOR | ||
20. | 01:23:24 | +03:05 | Tim TSCHARNKE | GER | ||
21. | 01:23:24 | +03:05 | Jonas DOBLER | GER | ||
22. | 01:23:24 | +03:05 | Devon KERSHAW | CAN | ||
23. | 01:23:24 | +03:05 | Konstantin GLAVATSKIKH | RUS | ||
24. | 01:23:25 | +03:06 | Alexander UTKIN | RUS | ||
25. | 01:23:25 | +03:06 | Keishin YOSHIDA | JPN | ||
26. | 01:23:25 | +03:06 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | ||
27. | 01:23:25 | +03:06 | Ivan BABIKOV | CAN | ||
28. | 01:23:25 | +03:07 | Martin JOHANSSON | SWE | ||
29. | 01:23:26 | +03:07 | Anders SOEDERGREN | SWE | ||
30. | 01:23:26 | +03:07 | Jens FILBRICH | GER | ||
31. | 01:23:26 | +03:07 | Jens ERIKSSON | SWE | ||
32. | 01:23:29 | +03:11 | Sami JAUHOJAERVI | FIN | ||
33. | 01:23:32 | +03:13 | Giorgio DI CENTA | ITA | ||
34. | 01:23:35 | +03:16 | Evgeniy BELOV | RUS | ||
35. | 01:23:48 | +03:29 | Stanislav VOLZHENTSEV | RUS |
Fastest skier of the day (unofficial results from live timing)
1. | 01:19:07 | Johannes DUERR | AUT | ||
2. | 01:19:58 | +00:51 | Noah HOFFMAN | USA | |
3. | 01:20:04 | +00:57 | Tord Asle GJERDALEN | NOR | |
4. | 01:20:07 | +01:00 | Chris JESPERSEN | NOR | |
5. | 01:20:17 | +01:11 | Alexander LEGKOV | RUS | |
6. | 01:20:19 | +01:12 | Martin Johnsrud SUNDBY | NOR | |
7. | 01:20:19 | +01:12 | Robin DUVILLARD | FRA | |
8. | 01:20:25 | +01:18 | Jean Marc GAILLARD | FRA | |
9. | 01:20:30 | +01:23 | Sjur ROETHE | NOR | |
10. | 01:20:35 | +01:28 | Didrik TOENSETH | NOR | |
11. | 01:20:39 | +01:32 | Ilia CHERNOUSOV | RUS | |
12. | 01:20:40 | +01:33 | Petter jr. NORTHUG | NOR | |
13. | 01:20:41 | +01:34 | Ville NOUSIAINEN | FIN | |
14. | 01:20:42 | +01:36 | Alex HARVEY | CAN | |
15. | 01:20:43 | +01:36 | Hannes DOTZLER | GER | |
16. | 01:20:43 | +01:36 | Daniel RICHARDSSON | SWE | |
17. | 01:20:46 | +01:39 | Calle HALFVARSSON | SWE | |
18. | 01:20:46 | +01:39 | Lari LEHTONEN | FIN | |
19. | 01:20:49 | +01:43 | Martin JOHANSSON | SWE | |
20. | 01:20:52 | +01:45 | Martin JAKS | CZE | |
21. | 01:20:54 | +01:47 | Konstantin GLAVATSKIKH | RUS | |
22. | 01:20:56 | +01:49 | Keishin YOSHIDA | JPN | |
23. | 01:21:01 | +01:54 | Anders SOEDERGREN | SWE | |
24. | 01:21:03 | +01:56 | Alexander UTKIN | RUS | |
25. | 01:21:07 | +02:00 | Jens ERIKSSON | SWE | |
26. | 01:21:10 | +02:03 | Niklas DYRHAUG | NOR | |
27. | 01:21:16 | +02:09 | Ivan BABIKOV | CAN | |
28. | 01:21:19 | +02:12 | Petr SEDOV | RUS | |
29. | 01:21:20 | +02:13 | Giorgio DI CENTA | ITA | |
30. | 01:21:36 | +02:29 | Jens FILBRICH | GER | |
31. | 01:21:37 | +02:30 | Jonas DOBLER | GER | |
32. | 01:21:37 | +02:30 | Ivan PERRILLAT BOITEUX | FRA | |
33. | 01:21:40 | +02:33 | Devon KERSHAW | CAN | |
34. | 01:21:51 | +02:44 | Toni LIVERS | SUI | |
35. | 01:21:56 | +02:49 | Sergei DOLIDOVICH | BLR |