Tour de Ski Toblach Women 15km: Analysis

Posted by Jan Kocbach, 03 Jan 2013@16:39

Thanks to a fantastic race by Swedish Charlotte Kalla, the women’s 15 km race in Toblach got a lot more interesting than expected. Justyna Kowalczyk was beat by 1:15 by the fast Swede today – and now the overall Tour de Ski in the women’s class looks wide open with 4 skiers within a little more than 30 seconds.

The illustration above is a graphical illustration of the race development based on the split times. A line which is flat means that a skier has the same time as Justyna Kowalczyk for the split (Kowalczyk’s line is flat all the way on the top). A line which goes down represents slower speed – a line which goes up represents faster speed. Key moments are marked on the illustration. See the full interactive illustration here.

Kowalczyk’s lead is now reduced to 23 seconds – It looks like this will be the most interesting Tour de Ski so far in the women’s class

As you can see from the illustration, Kalla (green curve from the start – then below Steira’s black curve from 5.7 km) was faster than Kowalczyk on all splits. Steira on the other hand had a bad start, but when Kalla came around 5 km, she managed to keep up with the fast Swedish skier all the way until the end. Towards the end of the race they also caught up with Therese Johaug. All three finished within 20 seconds of Justyna Kowalczyk – due to bonus seconds (15 / 10 / 5 to the first three) Kowalczyk’s lead is now reduced to 23 seconds – It looks like this will be the most interesting Tour de Ski so far in the women’s class.

Another locomotive: Astrid Uhrenholdt Jacobsen

Behind this trio, Astrid Uhrenholdt Jacobsen raced very well. Starting only a few seconds behind Kalla, she did not manage to catch her from the start. Instead she caught up Kyllönen, Herrmann and Randall – and with Jacobsen in front the quartet managed to get well within one minute behind Kowalczyk. The race time of Jacobsen was only around 20 seconds down on Kalla in the end.

With this everything is open in the women’s class again!

Split 1
1. 01:42 Denise HERRMANN GER
2. 01:44 +00:02 Katrin ZELLER GER
3. 01:46 +00:03 Sandra RINGWALD GER
4. 01:46 +00:04 Krista LAHTEENMAKI FIN
5. 01:47 +00:04 Charlotte KALLA SWE
6. 01:47 +00:04 Kristin Stoermer STEIRA NOR
7. 01:47 +00:04 Therese JOHAUG NOR
8. 01:47 +00:04 Jennie OEBERG SWE
9. 01:47 +00:05 Anna HAAG SWE
10. 01:48 +00:05 Anouk FAIVRE PICON FRA
11. 01:48 +00:06 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
15. 01:48 +00:06 Emma WIKEN SWE
28. 01:50 +00:08 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
31. 01:51 +00:08 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS
Split 2
1. 02:52 Charlotte KALLA SWE
2. 02:52 +00:01 Elizabeth STEPHEN USA
3. 02:53 +00:01 Katrin ZELLER GER
4. 02:53 +00:01 Valentina SHEVCHENKO UKR
5. 02:53 +00:02 Katerina SMUTNA AUT
6. 02:54 +00:02 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
7. 02:54 +00:02 Justyna KOWALCZYK POL
8. 02:54 +00:03 Eva VRABCOVA – NYVLTOVA CZE
9. 02:54 +00:03 Kornelia KUBINSKA POL
10. 02:54 +00:03 Anouk FAIVRE PICON FRA
11. 02:54 +00:03 Anna HAAG SWE
15. 02:55 +00:04 Emma WIKEN SWE
19. 02:56 +00:04 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS
38. 02:59 +00:07 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
Split 3
1. 08:29 Charlotte KALLA SWE
2. 08:29 +00:01 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
3. 08:30 +00:02 Emma WIKEN SWE
4. 08:31 +00:02 Katerina SMUTNA AUT
5. 08:31 +00:02 Katrin ZELLER GER
6. 08:31 +00:02 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
7. 08:32 +00:03 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS
8. 08:35 +00:06 Valentina SHEVCHENKO UKR
9. 08:36 +00:08 Jessica DIGGINS USA
10. 08:37 +00:08 Marthe KRISTOFFERSEN NOR
11. 08:38 +00:09 Heidi WENG NOR
Split 4
1. 02:54 Kristin Stoermer STEIRA NOR
2. 02:54 +00:00 Charlotte KALLA SWE
3. 02:55 +00:02 Denise HERRMANN GER
4. 02:58 +00:04 Emma WIKEN SWE
5. 02:58 +00:04 Katrin ZELLER GER
6. 02:58 +00:04 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
7. 02:58 +00:05 Kikkan RANDALL USA
8. 02:59 +00:05 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
9. 02:59 +00:05 Justyna KOWALCZYK POL
10. 02:59 +00:05 Katerina SMUTNA AUT
11. 03:00 +00:07 Therese JOHAUG NOR
13. 03:01 +00:08 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS
Split 5
1. 08:31 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS
2. 08:34 +00:03 Katrin ZELLER GER
3. 08:35 +00:05 Emma WIKEN SWE
4. 08:41 +00:11 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
5. 08:42 +00:11 Jessica DIGGINS USA
6. 08:42 +00:12 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
7. 08:43 +00:12 Kristin Stoermer STEIRA NOR
8. 08:43 +00:12 Charlotte KALLA SWE
9. 08:43 +00:13 Kikkan RANDALL USA
10. 08:44 +00:14 Valentina SHEVCHENKO UKR
11. 08:46 +00:15 Katerina SMUTNA AUT
Split 6
1. 02:57 Charlotte KALLA SWE
2. 02:57 +00:00 Kristin Stoermer STEIRA NOR
3. 02:59 +00:03 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS
4. 03:00 +00:03 Riitta-Liisa ROPONEN FIN
5. 03:00 +00:04 Katrin ZELLER GER
6. 03:01 +00:04 Krista LAHTEENMAKI FIN
7. 03:01 +00:05 Heidi WENG NOR
8. 03:01 +00:05 Justyna KOWALCZYK POL
9. 03:02 +00:05 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
10. 03:02 +00:05 Emma WIKEN SWE
11. 03:02 +00:05 Kikkan RANDALL USA
13. 03:02 +00:06 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
Split 7
1. 08:18 Krista LAHTEENMAKI FIN
2. 08:19 +00:01 Emma WIKEN SWE
3. 08:21 +00:03 Heidi WENG NOR
4. 08:22 +00:03 Katrin ZELLER GER
5. 08:22 +00:04 Charlotte KALLA SWE
6. 08:22 +00:04 Riitta-Liisa ROPONEN FIN
7. 08:22 +00:04 Kristin Stoermer STEIRA NOR
8. 08:26 +00:08 Jessica DIGGINS USA
9. 08:27 +00:09 Denise HERRMANN GER
10. 08:28 +00:10 Anne KYLLOENEN FIN
11. 08:28 +00:10 Therese JOHAUG NOR
14. 08:30 +00:12 Astrid Uhrenholdt JACOBSEN NOR
22. 08:36 +00:18 Yulia TCHEKALEVA RUS

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